In thise case dummy-customer-specific forecasts would make sense right? We use Smart/IP&O to get granularity at customer/site/part level…but summarize it at the site/part level within Kinetic. We’ve got too many customers ordering 1s and 2s a month and we don’t need that cluttering things up.
We’re using Smart/IP&O to do the forecasts at the granular customer/site/part level but we’re rolling up to site/part within Kinetic.
ok - been reading this for a while and I want to offer something different, maybe simpler to manage. I’ll say I haven’t thought it out completely, but that’s what this thread is for, right?
Since you have a dummy order, for a dummy customer, could you not flip this around and create a dummy Part with a min On Hand qty of say 5 and a build qty of 1? You could really bypass most of the rest of the overhead work, and just sell it on a REAL order when you determine it’ll be sold (either during or after manufacturing). You are putting it into inventory anyway, so the $$ is going to the right place.
And MRP will still get all the demand lined up for you.
No I think customerleas forecasts cause they don’t know who. They just want the demand. Though maybe they will need to in order for other orders (MTO) to consume it
Since we went off the rails a while ago, someone want to give a quick high level of how mrp works with stock jobs? How would we even start with demand? Am I even asking the right questions?
Again, the pro is that real orders are able to “consume” the forecast demand. Cool.
Well, what if you don’t sell the thing that you forecasted?
We are engineer-to-order. We really don’t sell the same truck twice. Forecasting only works if you sell the part number in the forecast.
I mean we will sell 2 or 100 of the same truck on a single order to a customer. But if they want that same truck next year, they cannot get it. We’ve added some standard safety feature since last year or something. And we give it a new part number.
But even then, we don’t really sell “standard” trucks. There is always some customization from the customer. Headlights, grating color, mud flaps, their logo decal, etc.
Right, that.
Again, we don’t use a configurator (but we do have the license). I don’t know if that would help or not.
Probably not as they are moving to pushing the BOMs from the CAD software here.
I don’t know if this is critical to management, but you can’t exactly schedule that, right?
Even with these extra trucks, we still need to plan ahead for them.
But IDK, maybe I’m thinking about this too much in the way we do it now. Honestly I don’t know what exactly drives the decision to make X stock trucks or X+3 or whatever number.
What is the final destination of these stock trucks. Are they just sold as is? or are they too special customized in the end?
If so then it sounds like you are building a partial assembly ahead of time (a basic truck) and then later on when a customer actually orders a new truck, you can use that “basic truck” but add wings, or windows, or extra wheels… (I clearly know nothing about trucks)
Similar thought here too. Is there potential for a divide and conquer solution? If 80% of the same truck is repeatedly sold, that’s forecastable. Similar for options, if they’re reasonably consistent. Would it be possible to base forecasting on the subset of what’s consistent and incrementally sneak up on portions of the rest with a different or improved solution?
Someone decides to buy one, but they want to add more mud flaps
Since it’s no longer the same as the other 753999 trucks, we give it a new part number, say 754000 and that is what goes on the sales order
So 754000 does not consume the forecast for 753999.
Good questions.
This is where it is really hard to step back from working here 12 years and be objective.
The “this discussion is over” answer is, no, they are not base trucks that then get things added to them.
It can get more complicated if we had rubbery mud flaps on it but the customer wants molded curved hard plastic ones instead.
Also, to put the accounting hat on, it’s nice if all the associated costs stay on a single job that then gets shipped direct. Then you can track the costs in a straight line.
Well unless too much money comes out of WIP (see post 28). So how well is it really working lol?
But we talk about things being standard trucks as if they really exist. I don’t know if they really do, but they should. It would make life easier.